https://github.com/cgeoga/spectralestimators.jl

Fast likelihoods for time series from spectral densities

https://github.com/cgeoga/spectralestimators.jl

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Fast likelihoods for time series from spectral densities

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  • Host: GitHub
  • Owner: cgeoga
  • License: mit
  • Language: Julia
  • Default Branch: main
  • Size: 37.1 KB
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Created almost 2 years ago · Last pushed 11 months ago
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README.md

SpectralEstimators.jl

This package provides tools for scalably and accurate evaluating the log-likelihood of a Gaussian time series using its spectral density. It is the software companion to Fast Machine-Precision Spectral Likelihoods for Stationary Time Series.

Demonstration

Here is a very quick demonstration that should get you off the ground and collecting all the digits quickly: ```julia using LinearAlgebra, SpectralEstimators

Write some parametric family of spectral densities you want to fit. Here is a

neat model that I don't mention in the paper, but is fun to play with because

it is smooth at the endpoints but potentially rough at the origin, so the

parameter alpha really directly controls how quickly the ACF decays.

function sdf(w, params) (phi, rho, alpha) = params exp(-(abs(sinpi(w))^alpha)/rho) end

Now for the interface, you create an object called "SpectralModel". You can

choose how to evaluate the tail sequence of your ACF: :asexp for the

asymptotic expansion, that will be faster, or :nufft, which will be less

error-prone to functions coded in such a way that AD doesn't give the right

answer.

model = SpectralEstimators.SDFModel(sdf, # your SDF, see above [0.0], # rough points of the SDF rank=72, # fixed rank for the Whittle correction kerneltailmethod=:nufft)

Now we're ready to build our fast and machine-exact approximation for

FSigmaF^H, as described in the paper. In this example, we build a 3k x 3k

matrix.

parametricsdf = SpectralEstimators.ParametricSDF(model, (5.0, 0.1, 1.25)) fftcov = SpectralEstimators.fftcovmat(parametricsdf, 3_000)

Enjoy! Take a look at the source to see all the methods. Here is a simple case

of the negative log-likelihood (nll):

@show SpectralEstimators.nll(fftcov, rand(3000)) ```

Owner

  • Name: Chris Geoga
  • Login: cgeoga
  • Kind: user
  • Location: Madison, WI

Assistant Professor of Statistics at UW Madison

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