CalibrationErrors

Estimation of calibration errors.

https://github.com/devmotion/calibrationerrors.jl

Science Score: 54.0%

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Keywords

calibration julia machine-learning reliability statistics

Keywords from Contributors

matrix-exponential ode pdes differential-equations interpretability fluxes optim surrogate simulations hack
Last synced: 6 months ago · JSON representation ·

Repository

Estimation of calibration errors.

Basic Info
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  • Stars: 17
  • Watchers: 3
  • Forks: 3
  • Open Issues: 2
  • Releases: 31
Topics
calibration julia machine-learning reliability statistics
Created over 6 years ago · Last pushed over 1 year ago
Metadata Files
Readme License Citation

README.md

CalibrationErrors.jl

Estimation of calibration errors.

Stable Dev Build Status DOI Codecov Coveralls Code Style: Blue Aqua QA

There are also Python and R interfaces for this package

Overview

This package implements different estimators of the expected calibration error (ECE), the squared kernel calibration error (SKCE), and the unnormalized calibration mean embedding (UCME) in the Julia language.

This package supports calibration error estimation of classification models that output vectors of class probabilities. In addition, SKCE and UCME can be estimated for more general probabilistic predictive models that output probability distributions defined in Distributions.jl such as normal and Laplace distributions.

Example

Calibration errors can be estimated from a data set of predicted probability distributions and a set of corresponding observed targets by executing julia estimator(predictions, targets)

The sets of predictions and targets have to be provided as vectors.

This package implements the estimator ECE of the ECE, the estimator SKCE for the SKCE (unbiased and biased variants with different sample complexity), and UCME for the UCME.

Related packages

CalibrationTests.jl implements statistical hypothesis tests of calibration.

pycalibration is a Python interface for CalibrationErrors.jl and CalibrationTests.jl.

rcalibration is an R interface for CalibrationErrors.jl and CalibrationTests.jl.

Talk at JuliaCon 2021

Calibration analysis of probabilistic models in Julia

The slides of the talk are available as Pluto notebook.

Citing

If you use CalibrationErrors.jl as part of your research, teaching, or other activities, please consider citing the following publications:

Widmann, D., Lindsten, F., & Zachariah, D. (2019). Calibration tests in multi-class classification: A unifying framework. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 32 (NeurIPS 2019) (pp. 12257–12267).

Widmann, D., Lindsten, F., & Zachariah, D. (2021). Calibration tests beyond classification. International Conference on Learning Representations (ICLR 2021).

Acknowledgements

This work was financially supported by the Swedish Research Council via the projects Learning of Large-Scale Probabilistic Dynamical Models (contract number: 2016-04278), Counterfactual Prediction Methods for Heterogeneous Populations (contract number: 2018-05040), and Handling Uncertainty in Machine Learning Systems (contract number: 2020-04122), by the Swedish Foundation for Strategic Research via the project Probabilistic Modeling and Inference for Machine Learning (contract number: ICA16-0015), by the Wallenberg AI, Autonomous Systems and Software Program (WASP) funded by the Knut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, and by ELLIIT.

Owner

  • Name: David Widmann
  • Login: devmotion
  • Kind: user
  • Location: Uppsala, Sweden
  • Company: Uppsala University

Citation (CITATION.bib)

@incollection{CalibrationAnalysis.jl-2019,
  title = {Calibration tests in multi-class classification: A unifying framework},
  author = {Widmann, David and Lindsten, Fredrik and Zachariah, Dave},
  booktitle = {Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems 32},
  pages = {12236--12246},
  year = {2019},
  url = {http://papers.nips.cc/paper/9392-calibration-tests-in-multi-class-classification-a-unifying-framework}
}

@inproceedings{CalibrationAnalysis.jl-2021,
  title={Calibration tests beyond classification},
  author={Widmann, David and Lindsten, Fredrik and Zachariah, Dave},
  booktitle={International Conference on Learning Representations},
  year={2021},
  url={https://openreview.net/forum?id=-bxf89v3Nx}
}

GitHub Events

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Last Year
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Committers

Last synced: over 1 year ago

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  • Avg Commits per committer: 23.5
  • Development Distribution Score (DDS): 0.585
Past Year
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  • Committers: 2
  • Avg Commits per committer: 1.0
  • Development Distribution Score (DDS): 0.5
Top Committers
Name Email Commits
David Widmann d****t@d****e 78
David Widmann d****n 61
David Widmann d****n@i****e 26
github-actions[bot] 4****] 14
github-actions[bot] c****y@j****g 4
Pietro Monticone 3****e 2
dependabot[bot] 4****] 2
Julia TagBot 5****t 1
Committer Domains (Top 20 + Academic)

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Last synced: 6 months ago

All Time
  • Total issues: 2
  • Total pull requests: 107
  • Average time to close issues: 2 days
  • Average time to close pull requests: 12 days
  • Total issue authors: 2
  • Total pull request authors: 5
  • Average comments per issue: 10.5
  • Average comments per pull request: 1.71
  • Merged pull requests: 20
  • Bot issues: 0
  • Bot pull requests: 53
Past Year
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  • Average time to close issues: N/A
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  • Average comments per issue: 0
  • Average comments per pull request: 0
  • Merged pull requests: 0
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Top Authors
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  • JuliaTagBot (1)
Pull Request Authors
  • github-actions[bot] (53)
  • devmotion (52)
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  • pitmonticone (2)
  • dependabot-preview[bot] (1)
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Packages

  • Total packages: 1
  • Total downloads:
    • julia 6 total
  • Total dependent packages: 3
  • Total dependent repositories: 0
  • Total versions: 32
juliahub.com: CalibrationErrors

Estimation of calibration errors.

  • Versions: 32
  • Dependent Packages: 3
  • Dependent Repositories: 0
  • Downloads: 6 Total
Rankings
Dependent repos count: 9.9%
Dependent packages count: 13.2%
Average: 21.1%
Stargazers count: 27.9%
Forks count: 33.3%
Last synced: 6 months ago

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