@article{giaccone2019influence,
  title={Influence of microclimate and geomorphological factors on alpine vegetation in the Western Swiss Alps},
  author={Giaccone, Elisa and Luoto, Miska and Vittoz, Pascal and Guisan, Antoine and Mari{\'e}thoz, Gr{\'e}goire and Lambiel, Christophe},
  journal={Earth Surface Processes and Landforms},
  volume={44},
  number={15},
  pages={3093--3107},
  year={2019},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{moeslund2013topography,
  title={Topography as a driver of local terrestrial vascular plant diversity patterns},
  author={Moeslund, Jesper Erenskjold and Arge, Lars and B{\o}cher, Peder Klith and Dalgaard, Tommy and Svenning, Jens-Christian},
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  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{swanson1988landform,
  title={Landform effects on ecosystem patterns and processes},
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@article{pastore2022cold,
  title={Cold-air pools as microrefugia for ecosystem functions in the face of climate change},
  author={Pastore, Melissa A and Classen, Aim{\'e}e T and D'Amato, Anthony W and Foster, Jane R and Adair, E Carol},
  journal={Ecology},
  volume={103},
  number={8},
  pages={e3717},
  year={2022},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{minder2008climatology,
  title={The climatology of small-scale orographic precipitation over the Olympic Mountains: Patterns and processes},
  author={Minder, Justin R and Durran, Dale R and Roe, Gerard H and Anders, Alison M},
  journal={Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society: A journal of the atmospheric sciences, applied meteorology and physical oceanography},
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  pages={817--839},
  year={2008},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{dearborn2017aspect,
  title={Aspect and slope influence plant community composition more than elevation across forest--tundra ecotones in subarctic Canada},
  author={Dearborn, Katherine D and Danby, Ryan K},
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  volume={28},
  number={3},
  pages={595--604},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{mcauliffe1994landscape,
  title={Landscape evolution, soil formation, and ecological patterns and processes in Sonoran Desert bajadas},
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  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
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@article{wondzell1996relationships,
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@article{katra2008effect,
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  volume={72},
  number={1},
  pages={49--55},
  year={2008},
  publisher={Elsevier}
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@article{english2005influence,
  title={The influence of soil texture and vegetation on soil moisture under rainout shelters in a semi-desert grassland},
  author={English, NB and Weltzin, JF and Fravolini, A and Thomas, L and Williams, DG},
  journal={Journal of Arid Environments},
  volume={63},
  number={1},
  pages={324--343},
  year={2005},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{fernandez2001ecohydrological,
  title={The ecohydrological role of soil texture in a water-limited ecosystem},
  author={Fernandez-Illescas, Coral Pilar and Porporato, Amilcare and Laio, Franscesco and Rodriguez-Iturbe, Ignacio},
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  number={12},
  pages={2863--2872},
  year={2001},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{duniway2010spatial,
  title={Spatial and temporal variability of plant-available water in calcium carbonate-cemented soils and consequences for arid ecosystem resilience},
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  journal={Oecologia},
  volume={163},
  pages={215--226},
  year={2010},
  publisher={Springer}
}

@article{rawls2003effect,
  title={Effect of soil organic carbon on soil water retention},
  author={Rawls, WJ and Pachepsky, Ya A and Ritchie, JC and Sobecki, TM and Bloodworth, H},
  journal={Geoderma},
  volume={116},
  number={1-2},
  pages={61--76},
  year={2003},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{ackerly2020topoclimates,
  title={Topoclimates, refugia, and biotic responses to climate change},
  author={Ackerly, David D and Kling, Matthew M and Clark, Matthew L and Papper, Prahlad and Oldfather, Meagan F and Flint, Alan L and Flint, Lorraine E},
  journal={Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment},
  volume={18},
  number={5},
  pages={288--297},
  year={2020},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{potter2013microclimatic,
  title={Microclimatic challenges in global change biology},
  author={Potter, Kristen A and Arthur Woods, H and Pincebourde, Sylvain},
  journal={Global change biology},
  volume={19},
  number={10},
  pages={2932--2939},
  year={2013},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{lenoir2017climatic,
  title={Climatic microrefugia under anthropogenic climate change: implications for species redistribution},
  author={Lenoir, Jonathan and Hattab, Tarek and Pierre, Guillaume},
  journal={Ecography},
  volume={40},
  number={2},
  pages={253--266},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{crow2018provisional,
  title={Provisional methods to guide species-specific seed transfer in ecological restoration},
  author={Crow, Taylor M and Albeke, Shannon E and Buerkle, C Alex and Hufford, Kristina M},
  journal={Ecosphere},
  volume={9},
  number={1},
  pages={e02059},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{shryock2017landscape,
  title={Landscape genetic approaches to guide native plant restoration in the Mojave Desert},
  author={Shryock, Daniel F and Havrilla, Caroline A and DeFalco, Lesley A and Esque, Todd C and Custer, Nathan A and Wood, Troy E},
  journal={Ecological Applications},
  volume={27},
  number={2},
  pages={429--445},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{wang2016locally,
  title={Locally downscaled and spatially customizable climate data for historical and future periods for North America},
  author={Wang, Tongli and Hamann, Andreas and Spittlehouse, Dave and Carroll, Carlos},
  journal={PloS one},
  volume={11},
  number={6},
  pages={e0156720},
  year={2016},
  publisher={Public Library of Science San Francisco, CA USA}
}

@article{johnson2017genecology,
  title={Genecology of Thurber’s Needlegrass (Achnatherum thurberianum [Piper] Barkworth) in the Western United States},
  author={Johnson, RC and Leger, EA and Vance-Borland, Ken},
  journal={Rangeland Ecology \& Management},
  volume={70},
  number={4},
  pages={509--517},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{bradley2013genetic,
  title={Genetic variation in adaptive traits and seed transfer zones for P seudoroegneria spicata (bluebunch wheatgrass) in the northwestern United States},
  author={Bradley St. Clair, John and Kilkenny, Francis F and Johnson, Richard C and Shaw, Nancy L and Weaver, George},
  journal={Evolutionary Applications},
  volume={6},
  number={6},
  pages={933--948},
  year={2013},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
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@article{amatulli2018suite,
  title={A suite of global, cross-scale topographic variables for environmental and biodiversity modeling},
  author={Amatulli, Giuseppe and Domisch, Sami and Tuanmu, Mao-Ning and Parmentier, Benoit and Ranipeta, Ajay and Malczyk, Jeremy and Jetz, Walter},
  journal={Scientific data},
  volume={5},
  number={1},
  pages={1--15},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Nature Publishing Group}
}

@article{amatulli2020geomorpho90m,
  title={Geomorpho90m, empirical evaluation and accuracy assessment of global high-resolution geomorphometric layers},
  author={Amatulli, Giuseppe and McInerney, Daniel and Sethi, Tushar and Strobl, Peter and Domisch, Sami},
  journal={Scientific Data},
  volume={7},
  number={1},
  pages={162},
  year={2020},
  publisher={Nature Publishing Group UK London}
}

@article{hengl2017soilgrids250m,
  title={SoilGrids250m: Global gridded soil information based on machine learning},
  author={Hengl, Tomislav and Mendes de Jesus, Jorge and Heuvelink, Gerard BM and Ruiperez Gonzalez, Maria and Kilibarda, Milan and Blagoti{\'c}, Aleksandar and Shangguan, Wei and Wright, Marvin N and Geng, Xiaoyuan and Bauer-Marschallinger, Bernhard and others},
  journal={PLoS one},
  volume={12},
  number={2},
  pages={e0169748},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Public Library of Science San Francisco, CA USA}
}

@article{vergopolan2021smap,
  title={SMAP-HydroBlocks, a 30-m satellite-based soil moisture dataset for the conterminous US},
  author={Vergopolan, Noemi and Chaney, Nathaniel W and Pan, Ming and Sheffield, Justin and Beck, Hylke E and Ferguson, Craig R and Torres-Rojas, Laura and Sadri, Sara and Wood, Eric F},
  journal={Scientific data},
  volume={8},
  number={1},
  pages={264},
  year={2021},
  publisher={Nature Publishing Group UK London}
}

@article{bower2014generalized,
  title={Generalized provisional seed zones for native plants},
  author={Bower, Andrew D and Clair, J Bradley St and Erickson, Vicky},
  journal={Ecological Applications},
  volume={24},
  number={5},
  pages={913--919},
  year={2014},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{gibson2019importance,
  title={Importance of considering soils in seed transfer zone development: evidence from a study of the native Bromus marginatus},
  author={Gibson, Alexis and Nelson, Cara R and Rinehart, Susan and Archer, Vince and Eramian, Aram},
  journal={Ecological Applications},
  volume={29},
  number={2},
  pages={e01835},
  year={2019},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{macel2007climate,
  title={Climate vs. soil factors in local adaptation of two common plant species},
  author={Macel, Mirka and Lawson, Clare S and Mortimer, Simon R and {\v{S}}milauerova, Marie and Bischoff, Armin and Cr{\'e}mieux, Lis{\`e}le and Dole{\v{z}}al, Ji{\v{r}}{\'\i} and Edwards, Andrew R and Lanta, Vojt{\^e}ch and Bezemer, T Martijn and others},
  journal={Ecology},
  volume={88},
  number={2},
  pages={424--433},
  year={2007},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{ellis2024adaptation,
  title={Adaptation to soil type contributes little to local adaptation in an Italian and a Swedish ecotype of Arabidopsis thaliana on contrasting soils},
  author={Ellis, Thomas James and {\AA}gren, Jon},
  journal={Biology Letters},
  volume={20},
  number={9},
  pages={20240236},
  year={2024},
  publisher={The Royal Society}
}

@article{o2011intraspecific,
  title={Intraspecific variation, adaptation, and evolution},
  author={O’Dell, Ryan E and Rajakaruna, Nishanta},
  journal={Serpentine: Evolution and ecology in a model system},
  volume={97},
  pages={137},
  year={2011},
  publisher={University of California Press Berkeley, CA}
}

@article{dittmar2023temporal,
  title={Temporal variation in selection influences microgeographic local adaptation},
  author={Dittmar, Emily L and Schemske, Douglas W},
  journal={The American Naturalist},
  volume={202},
  number={4},
  pages={471--485},
  year={2023},
  publisher={The University of Chicago Press Chicago, IL}
}

@article{dorey2024biotic,
  title={Biotic interactions promote local adaptation to soil in plants},
  author={Dorey, Thomas and Frachon, L{\'e}a and Rieseberg, Loren H and Kreiner, Julia M and Schiestl, Florian P},
  journal={Nature Communications},
  volume={15},
  number={1},
  pages={5186},
  year={2024},
  publisher={Nature Publishing Group UK London}
}

@article{sherrard2012local,
  title={Local adaptation across a fertility gradient is influenced by soil biota in the invasive grass, Bromus inermis},
  author={Sherrard, Mark E and Maherali, Hafiz},
  journal={Evolutionary Ecology},
  volume={26},
  pages={529--544},
  year={2012},
  publisher={Springer}
}

@article{rupprecht2021there,
  title={Is there local adaptation in plant species to soil reaction? A lesson from a multispecies experiment},
  author={Rupprecht, Denise and H{\"o}lzel, Norbert and Bucharova, Anna},
  journal={Restoration Ecology},
  volume={29},
  number={5},
  pages={e13393},
  year={2021},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{davidson2020spatial,
  title={Spatial grain of adaptation is much finer than ecoregional-scale common gardens reveal},
  author={Davidson, Bill E and Germino, Matthew J},
  journal={Ecology and Evolution},
  volume={10},
  number={18},
  pages={9920--9931},
  year={2020},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{moseley2010ecological,
  title={Ecological site development: a gentle introduction},
  author={Moseley, Kendra and Shaver, Pat L and Sanchez, Homer and Bestelmeyer, Brandon T},
  journal={Rangelands},
  volume={32},
  number={6},
  pages={16--22},
  year={2010},
  publisher={BioOne}
}

@article{brown2010ecological,
  title={Ecological sites: their history, status, and future},
  author={Brown, Joel R},
  journal={Rangelands},
  volume={32},
  number={6},
  pages={5--8},
  year={2010},
  publisher={BioOne}
}

@article{nauman2022quantitative,
  title={A quantitative soil-geomorphic framework for developing and mapping ecological site groups},
  author={Nauman, Travis W and Burch, Samuel S and Humphries, Joel T and Knight, Anna C and Duniway, Michael C},
  journal={Rangeland Ecology \& Management},
  volume={81},
  pages={9--33},
  year={2022},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{qiu2001soil,
  title={Soil moisture variation in relation to topography and land use in a hillslope catchment of the Loess Plateau, China},
  author={Qiu, Yang and Fu, Bojie and Wang, Jun and Chen, Liding},
  journal={Journal of Hydrology},
  volume={240},
  number={3-4},
  pages={243--263},
  year={2001},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{singh1998soil,
  title={Soil water dynamics and vegetation patterns in a semiarid grassland},
  author={Singh, J. S., and Milchunas, D. G., and Lauenroth, W. K. (},
  journal={Plant Ecology},
  volume={134},
  pages={77--89},
  year={1998},
  publisher={Springer}
}


=========================== # climate change section here 

@article{wenger2012assessing,
  title={Assessing transferability of ecological models: an underappreciated aspect of statistical validation},
  author={Wenger, Seth J and Olden, Julian D},
  journal={Methods in Ecology and Evolution},
  volume={3},
  number={2},
  pages={260--267},
  year={2012},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{lovell2023space,
  title={Space-for-time substitutions in climate change ecology and evolution},
  author={Lovell, Rebecca SL and Collins, Sinead and Martin, Simon H and Pigot, Alex L and Phillimore, Albert B},
  journal={Biological Reviews},
  volume={98},
  number={6},
  pages={2243--2270},
  year={2023},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{dormann2007methods,
  title={Methods to account for spatial autocorrelation in the analysis of species distributional data: a review},
  author={F. Dormann, Carsten and M. McPherson, Jana and B. Ara{\'u}jo, Miguel and Bivand, Roger and Bolliger, Janine and Carl, Gudrun and G. Davies, Richard and Hirzel, Alexandre and Jetz, Walter and Daniel Kissling, W and others},
  journal={Ecography},
  volume={30},
  number={5},
  pages={609--628},
  year={2007},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{yates2023cross,
  title={Cross validation for model selection: a review with examples from ecology},
  author={Yates, Luke A and Aandahl, Zach and Richards, Shane A and Brook, Barry W},
  journal={Ecological Monographs},
  volume={93},
  number={1},
  pages={e1557},
  year={2023},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{elith2009species,
  title={Species distribution models: ecological explanation and prediction across space and time},
  author={Elith, Jane and Leathwick, John R},
  journal={Annual review of ecology, evolution, and systematics},
  volume={40},
  number={1},
  pages={677--697},
  year={2009},
  publisher={Annual Reviews}
}

@article{araujo2005validation,
  title={Validation of species--climate impact models under climate change},
  author={Ara{\'u}jo, Miguel B and Pearson, Richard G and Thuiller, Wilfried and Erhard, Markus},
  journal={Global change biology},
  volume={11},
  number={9},
  pages={1504--1513},
  year={2005},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@inproceedings{liu2009measuring,
  title={Measuring the accuracy of species distribution models: a review},
  author={Liu, C and White, M and Newell, G},
  booktitle={Proceedings 18th World IMACs/MODSIM Congress. Cairns, Australia},
  volume={4241},
  pages={4247},
  year={2009}
}

@article{urban2016improving,
  title={Improving the forecast for biodiversity under climate change},
  author={Urban, Mark C and Bocedi, Greta and Hendry, Andrew P and Mihoub, J-B and Pe’er, Guy and Singer, Alex and Bridle, JR and Crozier, LG and De Meester, Luc and Godsoe, William and others},
  journal={Science},
  volume={353},
  number={6304},
  pages={aad8466},
  year={2016},
  publisher={American Association for the Advancement of Science}
}

@article{noce2020new,
  title={A new global dataset of bioclimatic indicators},
  author={Noce, Sergio and Caporaso, Luca and Santini, Monia},
  journal={Scientific data},
  volume={7},
  number={1},
  pages={398},
  year={2020},
  publisher={Nature Publishing Group UK London}
}

@article{fick2017worldclim,
  title={WorldClim 2: new 1-km spatial resolution climate surfaces for global land areas},
  author={Fick, Stephen E and Hijmans, Robert J},
  journal={International journal of climatology},
  volume={37},
  number={12},
  pages={4302--4315},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{brun2022global,
  title={Global climate-related predictors at kilometer resolution for the past and future},
  author={Brun, Philipp and Zimmermann, Niklaus E and Hari, Chantal and Pellissier, Lo{\"\i}c and Karger, Dirk Nikolaus},
  journal={Earth System Science Data},
  volume={14},
  number={12},
  pages={5573--5603},
  year={2022},
  publisher={Copernicus Publications G{\"o}ttingen, Germany}
}

@article{st2022seedlot,
  title={Seedlot Selection Tool and Climate-Smart Restoration Tool: web-based tools for sourcing seed adapted to future climates},
  author={St. Clair, John Bradley and Richardson, Bryce A and Stevenson-Molnar, Nikolas and Howe, Glenn T and Bower, Andrew D and Erickson, Vicky J and Ward, Brendan and Bachelet, Dominique and Kilkenny, Francis F and Wang, Tongli},
  journal={Ecosphere},
  volume={13},
  number={5},
  pages={e4089},
  year={2022},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{dormann2018model,
  title={Model averaging in ecology: A review of Bayesian, information-theoretic, and tactical approaches for predictive inference},
  author={Dormann, Carsten F and Calabrese, Justin M and Guillera-Arroita, Gurutzeta and Matechou, Eleni and Bahn, Volker and Barto{\'n}, Kamil and Beale, Colin M and Ciuti, Simone and Elith, Jane and Gerstner, Katharina and others},
  journal={Ecological monographs},
  volume={88},
  number={4},
  pages={485--504},
  year={2018},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{elith2010art,
  title={The art of modelling range-shifting species},
  author={Elith, Jane and Kearney, Michael and Phillips, Steven},
  journal={Methods in ecology and evolution},
  volume={1},
  number={4},
  pages={330--342},
  year={2010},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{wang2016locally,
  title={Locally downscaled and spatially customizable climate data for historical and future periods for North America},
  author={Wang, Tongli and Hamann, Andreas and Spittlehouse, Dave and Carroll, Carlos},
  journal={PloS one},
  volume={11},
  number={6},
  pages={e0156720},
  year={2016},
  publisher={Public Library of Science San Francisco, CA USA}
}

@article{owens2013constraints,
  title={Constraints on interpretation of ecological niche models by limited environmental ranges on calibration areas},
  author={Owens, Hannah L and Campbell, Lindsay P and Dornak, L Lynnette and Saupe, Erin E and Barve, Narayani and Sober{\'o}n, Jorge and Ingenloff, Kate and Lira-Noriega, Andr{\'e}s and Hensz, Christopher M and Myers, Corinne E and others},
  journal={Ecological modelling},
  volume={263},
  pages={10--18},
  year={2013},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

Reed Benkendorf
	
12:18 PM (0 minutes ago)
	
to me

@article{de2022dealing,
  title={Dealing with clustered samples for assessing map accuracy by cross-validation},
  author={De Bruin, Sytze and Brus, Dick J and Heuvelink, Gerard BM and van Ebbenhorst Tengbergen, Tom and Wadoux, Alexandre MJ-C},
  journal={Ecological Informatics},
  volume={69},
  pages={101665},
  year={2022},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{wang2023spatial,
  title={Spatial+: A new cross-validation method to evaluate geospatial machine learning models},
  author={Wang, Yanwen and Khodadadzadeh, Mahdi and Zurita-Milla, Ra{\'u}l},
  journal={International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation},
  volume={121},
  pages={103364},
  year={2023},
  publisher={Elsevier}
}

@article{roberts2017cross,
  title={Cross-validation strategies for data with temporal, spatial, hierarchical, or phylogenetic structure},
  author={Roberts, David R and Bahn, Volker and Ciuti, Simone and Boyce, Mark S and Elith, Jane and Guillera-Arroita, Gurutzeta and Hauenstein, Severin and Lahoz-Monfort, Jos{\'e} J and Schr{\"o}der, Boris and Thuiller, Wilfried and others},
  journal={Ecography},
  volume={40},
  number={8},
  pages={913--929},
  year={2017},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}

@article{mahony2022global,
  title={A global climate model ensemble for downscaled monthly climate normals over North America},
  author={Mahony, Colin R and Wang, Tongli and Hamann, Andreas and Cannon, Alex J},
  journal={International Journal of Climatology},
  volume={42},
  number={11},
  pages={5871--5891},
  year={2022},
  publisher={Wiley Online Library}
}