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https://github.com/abbylewis/vera_meteor_strike

Simple empirical forecasts for the VERA forecasting challenge

https://github.com/abbylewis/vera_meteor_strike

Science Score: 13.0%

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    Low similarity (6.6%) to scientific vocabulary
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Repository

Simple empirical forecasts for the VERA forecasting challenge

Basic Info
  • Host: GitHub
  • Owner: abbylewis
  • License: mit
  • Language: HTML
  • Default Branch: main
  • Size: 2.07 MB
Statistics
  • Stars: 0
  • Watchers: 1
  • Forks: 1
  • Open Issues: 0
  • Releases: 0
Created over 2 years ago · Last pushed about 2 years ago
Metadata Files
Readme License

README.md

VERA meteor strike

Simple empirical forecasts for the VERA forecasting challenge (https://www.ltreb-reservoirs.org/)

Models currently set up:

  • asl.auto.arima
  • asl.ets
  • asl.tbats
  • asl.temp.lm
  • asl.met.lm
  • asl.met.lm.step

TO DO:

  1. Figure out if we want to add auto_adam, nnetar
  2. Load inflow targets

To add new models

  1. Copy an existing model folder (I suggest ARIMA for a time series model or temp_lm for a model with meteorology)
  2. Update forecast_model.R to include your new model (most of the script should be able to stay the same)
  3. Update the the file paths in rerun_forecasts.R and run_forecast.R to source the correct forecast_model.R script
  4. Run everything in your forecast_model.R file, then open .R/generate_tg_forecast and run the lines of this function individually to make sure everything works.
  5. If that worked, you should be pretty much set up! To create automation, go to .github/workflows and copy one of the do_prediction_XXX.yml files. Update the model name and file path for your new model.
  6. Push changes and create automation

Owner

  • Name: Abby Lewis
  • Login: abbylewis
  • Kind: user

GitHub Events

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Dependencies

.github/workflows/do_prediction_arima.yml actions
  • actions/checkout v3 composite
.github/workflows/do_prediction_ets.yml actions
  • actions/checkout v3 composite
.github/workflows/do_prediction_tbats.yml actions
  • actions/checkout v3 composite
.github/workflows/do_prediction_met_lm.yml actions
  • actions/checkout v3 composite
.github/workflows/do_prediction_met_step.yml actions
  • actions/checkout v3 composite
.github/workflows/do_prediction_temp_lm.yml actions
  • actions/checkout v3 composite