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coalitions

coalitions: Coalition probabilities in multi-party democracies - Published in JOSS (2018)

https://github.com/adibender/coalitions

Science Score: 95.0%

This score indicates how likely this project is to be science-related based on various indicators:

  • ○
    CITATION.cff file
  • ✓
    codemeta.json file
    Found codemeta.json file
  • ✓
    .zenodo.json file
    Found .zenodo.json file
  • ✓
    DOI references
    Found 5 DOI reference(s) in README and JOSS metadata
  • ○
    Academic publication links
  • ✓
    Committers with academic emails
    2 of 13 committers (15.4%) from academic institutions
  • ○
    Institutional organization owner
  • ✓
    JOSS paper metadata
    Published in Journal of Open Source Software

Keywords

coalition-probabilities election-analysis elections r rstats

Scientific Fields

Engineering Computer Science - 40% confidence
Last synced: 6 months ago · JSON representation

Repository

Coalition probabilities in multi-party democracies

Basic Info
Statistics
  • Stars: 23
  • Watchers: 3
  • Forks: 4
  • Open Issues: 1
  • Releases: 13
Topics
coalition-probabilities election-analysis elections r rstats
Created over 12 years ago · Last pushed over 1 year ago
Metadata Files
Readme Changelog License Code of conduct

README.Rmd 

---
output: github_document
---

```{r options, echo=FALSE}
library(knitr)
opts_chunk$set(warning=FALSE)
```

# coalitions 
[![Travis-CI Build Status](https://travis-ci.org/adibender/coalitions.svg?branch=master)](https://travis-ci.org/adibender/coalitions)
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[![CRAN_Status_Badge](https://www.r-pkg.org/badges/version-ago/coalitions)](https://cran.r-project.org/package=coalitions)
[![](https://cranlogs.r-pkg.org/badges/grand-total/coalitions)](https://cran.r-project.org/package=coalitions)
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## Overview

The `coalitions` package implements a Bayesian framework for the estimation of
event probabilities in multi-party electoral systems (Bauer et al., 2019) like Germany, Austria etc.
To support estimation, the package also implements scrappers that
obtain data for German federal and general elections as well as Austrian
general election. The implementation can be extended to support other elections.

  - To get started, see our [workflow vignette](https://adibender.github.io/coalitions/articles/workflow.html)

  - Check out our [interactive shiny app](https://koala.stat.uni-muenchen.de/) on
  German (state and federal) elections/surveys

  - Updates are available from our [KOALA_LMU twitter account](https://twitter.com/KOALA_LMU)!

## Installation

```{r, eval=FALSE}
# To install from CRAN use:
install.packages("coalitions")

# To install the most current version from GitHub use:
devtools::install_github("adibender/coalitions")
```



## Usage

Detailed workflow is outlined in the
[workflow](https://adibender.github.io/coalitions/articles/workflow.html)
vignette.

A short overview is presented below.


### Scrape surveys

The wrapper `get_surveys()` which takes no arguments, downloads all surveys
currently available at [wahlrecht](https://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen) and
stores them in a nested `tibble`:

```{r, message = FALSE}
library(coalitions)
library(dplyr)
library(tidyr)
surveys <- get_surveys()
surveys
```

Each row represents a polling agency and each row in the `surveys` column again
contains a nested `tibble` with survey results from different time-points:

```{r}
surveys %>%
    filter(pollster == "allensbach") %>%
    unnest()

survey <- surveys %>% unnest() %>% slice(1)
survey %>% unnest()
```

### Calculate coalition probabilities
For each survey (row) we can calculate the coalition probabilities

```{r}
survey %>% get_probabilities(nsim=1e4) %>% unnest()
```

## References
Bauer, Alexander, Andreas Bender, André Klima, and Helmut Küchenhoff. 2019. “KOALA: A New Paradigm for Election Coverage.” AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, June. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10182-019-00352-6.

Bender, Andreas, and Alexander Bauer. 2018. “Coalitions: Coalition Probabilities in Multi-Party Democracies,” March. https://doi.org/10.21105/joss.00606.

Owner

  • Name: Andreas Bender
  • Login: adibender
  • Kind: user
  • Company: LMU

JOSS Publication

coalitions: Coalition probabilities in multi-party democracies
Published
March 11, 2018
DOI
Volume 3, Issue 23, Page 606
Authors
Andreas Bender ORCID
Statistical Consulting Unit, StaBLab, LMU Munich
Alexander Bauer ORCID
Statistical Consulting Unit, StaBLab, LMU Munich
Editor
Thomas J. Leeper ORCID
Tags
coalitions rstats coalition probabilities political science
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GitHub Events

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  • Watch event: 1
Last Year
  • Watch event: 1

Committers

Last synced: 7 months ago

All Time
  • Total Commits: 353
  • Total Committers: 13
  • Avg Commits per committer: 27.154
  • Development Distribution Score (DDS): 0.241
Past Year
  • Commits: 0
  • Committers: 0
  • Avg Commits per committer: 0.0
  • Development Distribution Score (DDS): 0.0
Top Committers
Name Email Commits
adibender b****R@g****m 268
adibender b****s@g****m 30
bauer-alex a****3@g****t 21
bauer-alex a****3@p****e 12
bauer-alex a****r@s****e 7
Frederick Solt f****t@m****m 4
Daniel Schlichting d****g@w****e 4
schade-rebekka w****e@p****e 2
Romain Francois r****n@r****m 1
Hadley Wickham h****m@g****m 1
Andreas Hueck a****k@g****m 1
unknown b****l@W****e 1
ri87rul b****r@c****e 1
Committer Domains (Top 20 + Academic)
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Issues and Pull Requests

Last synced: 6 months ago

All Time
  • Total issues: 36
  • Total pull requests: 64
  • Average time to close issues: 3 months
  • Average time to close pull requests: 4 days
  • Total issue authors: 6
  • Total pull request authors: 6
  • Average comments per issue: 1.33
  • Average comments per pull request: 0.34
  • Merged pull requests: 58
  • Bot issues: 0
  • Bot pull requests: 0
Past Year
  • Issues: 0
  • Pull requests: 0
  • Average time to close issues: N/A
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  • Issue authors: 0
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  • Average comments per issue: 0
  • Average comments per pull request: 0
  • Merged pull requests: 0
  • Bot issues: 0
  • Bot pull requests: 0
View more stats
Top Authors
Issue Authors
  • adibender (19)
  • bauer-alex (12)
  • mbflex (2)
  • hmeleiro (1)
  • paugrau (1)
  • HeidiSeibold (1)
Pull Request Authors
  • adibender (47)
  • bauer-alex (12)
  • schade-rebekka (2)
  • fsolt (1)
  • romainfrancois (1)
  • hadley (1)
Top Labels
Issue Labels
enhancement (12) bug (10) addition (8) low priority (4) priority: urgent (3) CRAN (2) question (1)
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Packages

  • Total packages: 1
  • Total downloads:
    • cran 350 last-month
  • Total docker downloads: 41,971
  • Total dependent packages: 0
  • Total dependent repositories: 0
  • Total versions: 10
  • Total maintainers: 1
cran.r-project.org: coalitions

Bayesian "Now-Cast" Estimation of Event Probabilities in Multi-Party Democracies

  • Versions: 10
  • Dependent Packages: 0
  • Dependent Repositories: 0
  • Downloads: 350 Last month
  • Docker Downloads: 41,971
Rankings
Stargazers count: 12.2%
Forks count: 12.8%
Average: 23.4%
Downloads: 26.8%
Dependent packages count: 29.8%
Dependent repos count: 35.5%
Maintainers (1)
bender.at.R@gmail.com
Last synced: 6 months ago

Dependencies

DESCRIPTION cran
  • R >= 3.2.1 depends
  • RCurl * imports
  • checkmate * imports
  • dplyr > 0.5.0 imports
  • ggplot2 * imports
  • gtools * imports
  • jsonlite * imports
  • lubridate * imports
  • magrittr * imports
  • purrr > 0.2.2 imports
  • rlang * imports
  • rvest * imports
  • stringr * imports
  • tibble >= 3.0.0 imports
  • tidyr >= 1.0.0 imports
  • xml2 * imports
  • covr * suggests
  • testthat * suggests